“Holding rates steady is April’s antidote to what could have been a ‘nightmare’ situation for borrowers on the brink. For some mortgaged homeowners walking a tightrope as low‑cost fixes expire, stability for now is a genuine relief. It removes the worst‑case scenario and gives lenders space to price mortgages with a little more confidence, which could be enough to tempt hesitant buyers back into the market as May approaches. “The Bank remains focused on steering inflation towards its 2% target, but a pause acknowledges the fragility beneath the surface. After this morning’s sluggish transaction figures, what the housing market needs most is movement. As one of the clearest indicators of economic health, housing underpins household confidence and investor sentiment alike – and both have been running low. “We are firmly in a mid‑cycle lull: prices broadly flat, deals dragging, and buyers waiting for signals. History suggests this phase won’t last forever. House prices have shown remarkable resilience over time, and with rates on hold, this may prove a narrow window of opportunity for buyers able to act before the next turn in the cycle. “In commercial property, the picture is more cautious. Borrowing costs may not have risen further, but businesses are still grappling with higher wage bills, the latest Business Rates reset and lingering uncertainty over energy costs. In exposed sectors, capital is being preserved rather than deployed. “The hold buys time, but not indefinitely. Markets will now be watching closely for clearer signals that cuts are coming, with hopes increasingly pinned on relief before the end of summer.
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Andrew Lloyd